The Storm Prediction center has placed the Kansas City area in a slight risk of severe weather for tomorrow afternoon. Some people have discussed the potential for a significant episode of severe weather, however, this is highly dependant on several factors that are still highly suspect. One thing I am very confidant in is the moisture return. I am confident that dew points tomorrow afternoon will be reaching into the lower 60s. However, this moisture return may cause a stratus deck to from, and inhibit daytime heating and reduce our instability. This could reduce our risk for severe storms. The more likely areas to receive severe weather will to be out north, in NE Kansas, SE Nebraska, and NW Missouri where there will be more upper level support that will overcome the lack of daytime heating. Also, there will be an increased risk to our south were there will be more sunshine, and the atmosphere will be further destabilize. This is all dependant on the quality of the moisture return tomorrow afternoon, and whether or not a status deck forms. If the clouds break up early enough, we could receive enough sun to destabilized the atmosphere enough to support supercell storms tomorrow evening.

Here is the latest severe weather outlook from the SPC:


Look for updates later today and during the day tomorrow.